I was in a hand at a 5/10 limit game a few years back and I called from the match with J9os about after 5 ceme online had limped. Then obviously the big blind determines to be clever and min raises. Everybody else, including me calls again. 14 stakes, $72 from the pot to start the hand in the kettle! The flop comes Q84 rainbow.
Gut shot. Man would I dropped better if I was open-ended. Stupid to take this hand I presumed, bent on my tight competitive style working out finally. The small blind puts a bet out. Subsequently 5 sequential calls as soon as it extends me. Just another $5 to telephone… I should do it. I achieved this , now swelling the bud now $11-4. I remember at the point was wondering exactly what the hell that they ALL had and how could so many players be that dumb.
It was painful to find that the”brick-like” turn card of the 2 of nightclubs rounding out all four suits to the board. It didn’t halt the under-the-gun player from gambling $10 now, and sure enough – NOBODY had folded as it found me. That added $60 to the bud making it $174 while I pondered what to do. I have a gut shot draw the nuts with no chance of an opponent outdrawing me to a flush. I needed a 10, but what exactly are chances of me hitting on hit?
1 community card left to reveal, 46 hidden cards, 4 hidden tensof thousands. Approximately a9% chance of hitting on the nuts or even 11:1. I made the decision to foldbecause I didn’t wish to waste any extra cash and the session was going poorly for me so much, so I did not desire it becoming worse here. The chances were far fetched my 10 would come, I figured I would only save it for a much better spot.
Uhhh…. Major mistake.
Of course, the river was a ten as I am positive you figured out it, but my mistake wasn’t because a ten failed to fall, my mistake wasn’t properly analyzing the likelihood situation. It really did NOT matter that which came on the river, I should have been at the hands to see it no matter. My mistake wasn’t fully understanding real poker odds.
It’s $10 to call (without a prospect of a re-raise supporting me) a pot of 174. That is real math, by a real poker hands, with real poker probabilities and had I understood at the timeI would have realized that sometimes it is worth it to draw to an inside straight.
The underlying benefit of visiting that huge marijuana go elsewhere thanks to my mistake, forced me to master the probability of this game and re-evaluate my general plan. I really can say today, thanks in part to using poker calculators, even whether tournament, ring or cash games, so I am no longer ignorant of their likelihood in poker.